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بررسی عدم قطعیت در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زیست

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بررسی عدم قطعیت در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زیست 
بررسی عدم قطعیت در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زیست

بررسی عدم قطعیت در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زیست 

بررسی عدم قطعیت در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زیست و استفاده از منطق فازی جهت مدیریت آن

دوستان مقاله زیر مفید می باشد و به دقت و با همراهی استاید مجرب تهیه شده است.

امیدوارم مطالعه کنید و برای شما عزیزان مفید و سازنده باشد.

چکیده ی مقاله فوق به صورت زیر می باشد امیدوارم دوستان استفاده لازم را ببرند.

به طور کلی طبیعت و محیط زیست، با پیچیدگی، پویایی و عدم قطعیت همراه است. دانش محدود از طبیعت و نبود داده­های کافی و حجم زیاد داده­های کیفی از دلایل نگاه ویژه ی ما به منطق فازی در ارزیابی اثرات است.

اساسا ما در طبیعت توانایی اندازه ­گیری با هر درجه از دقت خاص محرومیم.

از این رو با عدم قطعیت در اطلاعات و یک ارزشگذاری کیفی که باید به اهمیت اثر بدهیم روبرو هستیم.

این عدم قطعیت را به راحتی می­توان با مجموعه­های فازی مدلسازی نمود. منطق فازی به دلیل دارابودن مفاهیم ساده و انعطاف پذیر، کار با داده­های مبهم و مدلهای پیچیده، میتواند کارساز واقع شود.

منطق فازی به خوبی به ابهامات، صورتبندی ریاضی بخشیده و زمینه را برای تصمیم گیری و استدلال در مورد آنها فراهم می­سازد.

در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زبست منابع عدم قطعیت مربوط به دو بخش فرایند ارزیابی یعنی پیش بینی اثرات و  ارزیابی اهمیت و معنی داری آن هاست. با کمک منطق فازی از کل گویی و مطلق گویی در ارزیابی دور شده و ارزیابی اثرات به طرف قضاوتی درست تر و واقعی تر سوق داده می شود.

منطق فازی در عصر فعلی که تغییرات سریع همراه با پیچیدگی های بغرنج همراه شده، می تواند جوابی مناسب برای این شرایط باشد.

کاربرد منطق فازی در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زیستی نقطه شروعی در برابر روش های سنتی ارزیابی و ارتقای کیفیت مطالعات ارزیابی خواهد بود.

از همراهی شما دوستان عزیز  و گرامی متشکریم.

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12 دیدگاه دربارهٔ «بررسی عدم قطعیت در ارزیابی اثرات محیط زیست»

  1. Hey, this is Eric and I ran across faraferasat.ir a few minutes ago.

    Looks great… but now what?

    By that I mean, when someone like me finds your website – either through Search or just bouncing around – what happens next? Do you get a lot of leads from your site, or at least enough to make you happy?

    Honestly, most business websites fall a bit short when it comes to generating paying customers. Studies show that 70% of a site’s visitors disappear and are gone forever after just a moment.

    Here’s an idea…

    How about making it really EASY for every visitor who shows up to get a personal phone call you as soon as they hit your site…

    You can –

    Talk With Web Visitor is a software widget that’s works on your site, ready to capture any visitor’s Name, Email address and Phone Number. It signals you the moment they let you know they’re interested – so that you can talk to that lead while they’re literally looking over your site.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitor.com to try out a Live Demo with Talk With Web Visitor now to see exactly how it works.

    You’ll be amazed – the difference between contacting someone within 5 minutes versus a half-hour or more later could increase your results 100-fold.

    It gets even better… once you’ve captured their phone number, with our new SMS Text With Lead feature, you can automatically start a text (SMS) conversation.

    That way, even if you don’t close a deal right away, you can follow up with text messages for new offers, content links, even just “how you doing?” notes to build a relationship.

    Pretty sweet – AND effective.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitor.com to discover what Talk With Web Visitor can do for your business.

    You could be converting up to 100X more leads today!

    Eric
    PS: Talk With Web Visitor offers a FREE 14 days trial – and it even includes International Long Distance Calling.
    You have customers waiting to talk with you right now… don’t keep them waiting.
    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitor.com to try Talk With Web Visitor now.

    If you’d like to unsubscribe click here http://talkwithwebvisitor.com/unsubscribe.aspx?d=faraferasat.ir

  2. Your domain name: faraferasat.ir

    This announcement RUNS OUT ON: Nov 21, 2020!.

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  3. Hey, this is Eric and I ran across faraferasat.ir a few minutes ago.

    Looks great… but now what?

    By that I mean, when someone like me finds your website – either through Search or just bouncing around – what happens next? Do you get a lot of leads from your site, or at least enough to make you happy?

    Honestly, most business websites fall a bit short when it comes to generating paying customers. Studies show that 70% of a site’s visitors disappear and are gone forever after just a moment.

    Here’s an idea…

    How about making it really EASY for every visitor who shows up to get a personal phone call you as soon as they hit your site…

    You can –

    Talk With Web Visitor is a software widget that’s works on your site, ready to capture any visitor’s Name, Email address and Phone Number. It signals you the moment they let you know they’re interested – so that you can talk to that lead while they’re literally looking over your site.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithcustomer.com to try out a Live Demo with Talk With Web Visitor now to see exactly how it works.

    You’ll be amazed – the difference between contacting someone within 5 minutes versus a half-hour or more later could increase your results 100-fold.

    It gets even better… once you’ve captured their phone number, with our new SMS Text With Lead feature, you can automatically start a text (SMS) conversation.

    That way, even if you don’t close a deal right away, you can follow up with text messages for new offers, content links, even just “how you doing?” notes to build a relationship.

    Pretty sweet – AND effective.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithcustomer.com to discover what Talk With Web Visitor can do for your business.

    You could be converting up to 100X more leads today!

    Eric
    PS: Talk With Web Visitor offers a FREE 14 days trial – and it even includes International Long Distance Calling.
    You have customers waiting to talk with you right now… don’t keep them waiting.
    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithcustomer.com to try Talk With Web Visitor now.

    If you’d like to unsubscribe click here http://talkwithcustomer.com/unsubscribe.aspx?d=faraferasat.ir

  4. Hi, Eric here with a quick thought about your website faraferasat.ir…

    I’m on the internet a lot and I look at a lot of business websites.

    Like yours, many of them have great content.

    But all too often, they come up short when it comes to engaging and connecting with anyone who visits.

    I get it – it’s hard. Studies show 7 out of 10 people who land on a site, abandon it in moments without leaving even a trace. You got the eyeball, but nothing else.

    Here’s a solution for you…

    Talk With Web Visitor is a software widget that’s works on your site, ready to capture any visitor’s Name, Email address and Phone Number. You’ll know immediately they’re interested and you can call them directly to talk with them literally while they’re still on the web looking at your site.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitors.com to try out a Live Demo with Talk With Web Visitor now to see exactly how it works.

    It could be huge for your business – and because you’ve got that phone number, with our new SMS Text With Lead feature, you can automatically start a text (SMS) conversation – immediately… and contacting someone in that 5 minute window is 100 times more powerful than reaching out 30 minutes or more later.

    Plus, with text messaging you can follow up later with new offers, content links, even just follow up notes to keep the conversation going.

    Everything I’ve just described is extremely simple to implement, cost-effective, and profitable.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitors.com to discover what Talk With Web Visitor can do for your business.

    You could be converting up to 100X more eyeballs into leads today!

    Eric
    PS: Talk With Web Visitor offers a FREE 14 days trial – and it even includes International Long Distance Calling.
    You have customers waiting to talk with you right now… don’t keep them waiting.
    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitors.com to try Talk With Web Visitor now.

    If you’d like to unsubscribe click here http://talkwithwebvisitors.com/unsubscribe.aspx?d=faraferasat.ir

  5. Hey there, I just found your site, quick question…

    My name’s Eric, I found faraferasat.ir after doing a quick search – you showed up near the top of the rankings, so whatever you’re doing for SEO, looks like it’s working well.

    So here’s my question – what happens AFTER someone lands on your site? Anything?

    Research tells us at least 70% of the people who find your site, after a quick once-over, they disappear… forever.

    That means that all the work and effort you put into getting them to show up, goes down the tubes.

    Why would you want all that good work – and the great site you’ve built – go to waste?

    Because the odds are they’ll just skip over calling or even grabbing their phone, leaving you high and dry.

    But here’s a thought… what if you could make it super-simple for someone to raise their hand, say, “okay, let’s talk” without requiring them to even pull their cell phone from their pocket?

    You can – thanks to revolutionary new software that can literally make that first call happen NOW.

    Talk With Web Visitor is a software widget that sits on your site, ready and waiting to capture any visitor’s Name, Email address and Phone Number. It lets you know IMMEDIATELY – so that you can talk to that lead while they’re still there at your site.

    You know, strike when the iron’s hot!

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitors.com to try out a Live Demo with Talk With Web Visitor now to see exactly how it works.

    When targeting leads, you HAVE to act fast – the difference between contacting someone within 5 minutes versus 30 minutes later is huge – like 100 times better!

    That’s why you should check out our new SMS Text With Lead feature as well… once you’ve captured the phone number of the website visitor, you can automatically kick off a text message (SMS) conversation with them.

    Imagine how powerful this could be – even if they don’t take you up on your offer immediately, you can stay in touch with them using text messages to make new offers, provide links to great content, and build your credibility.

    Just this alone could be a game changer to make your website even more effective.

    Strike when the iron’s hot!

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitors.com to learn more about everything Talk With Web Visitor can do for your business – you’ll be amazed.

    Thanks and keep up the great work!

    Eric
    PS: Talk With Web Visitor offers a FREE 14 days trial – you could be converting up to 100x more leads immediately!
    It even includes International Long Distance Calling.
    Stop wasting money chasing eyeballs that don’t turn into paying customers.
    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithwebvisitors.com to try Talk With Web Visitor now.

    If you’d like to unsubscribe click here http://talkwithwebvisitors.com/unsubscribe.aspx?d=faraferasat.ir

  6. Hey, my name’s Eric and for just a second, imagine this…

    – Someone does a search and winds up at faraferasat.ir.

    – They hang out for a minute to check it out. “I’m interested… but… maybe…”

    – And then they hit the back button and check out the other search results instead.

    – Bottom line – you got an eyeball, but nothing else to show for it.

    – There they go.

    This isn’t really your fault – it happens a LOT – studies show 7 out of 10 visitors to any site disappear without leaving a trace.

    But you CAN fix that.

    Talk With Web Visitor is a software widget that’s works on your site, ready to capture any visitor’s Name, Email address and Phone Number. It lets you know right then and there – enabling you to call that lead while they’re literally looking over your site.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithcustomer.com to try out a Live Demo with Talk With Web Visitor now to see exactly how it works.

    Time is money when it comes to connecting with leads – the difference between contacting someone within 5 minutes versus 30 minutes later can be huge – like 100 times better!

    Plus, now that you have their phone number, with our new SMS Text With Lead feature you can automatically start a text (SMS) conversation… so even if you don’t close a deal then, you can follow up with text messages for new offers, content links, even just “how you doing?” notes to build a relationship.

    Strong stuff.

    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithcustomer.com to discover what Talk With Web Visitor can do for your business.

    You could be converting up to 100X more leads today!

    Eric
    PS: Talk With Web Visitor offers a FREE 14 days trial – and it even includes International Long Distance Calling.
    You have customers waiting to talk with you right now… don’t keep them waiting.
    CLICK HERE http://www.talkwithcustomer.com to try Talk With Web Visitor now.

    If you’d like to unsubscribe click here http://talkwithcustomer.com/unsubscribe.aspx?d=faraferasat.ir

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